This sounds reasonable

Elections 2012: Florida Set For Big Role In GOP Primary: "It's quite plausible that front-runners Rick Perry and Mitt Romney could roughly divide the first four contests, in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina. If that happens, Florida could prove the virtual tie-breaker, a prize so big in a state so central to presidential elections that the loser might struggle to stay afloat."

And and should Romney win, it might spell the death of the Tea Party as anything but a corporate funded grass roots puppet for big business. But neither will be a match for a re-energized President Obama.



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