The notion that there is a magic number for Obama is silly. Obama will win for the following three reasons:
The growing body of proof that the GOP does not care about the rights of women
The growing concern that poverty is a function of the avariciousness and disdain of the corporate-ruling class
The national choice to go with a strong and reasonable President who does not promise the moon instead of a President who could easily turn into Bush 3.
Even if Nate's magic number of 150K new jobs a month is not met the President will win. The chances are that he will take Nate seriously and see that that target is met. Making winning a lock.
Charles Sanders Peirce - Thinking in Threes