Tajikistan: The Changing Insurgent Threats - International Crisis Group : "President Rakhmon denies that the North African scenario of popular unrest and revolt could happen in Tajikistan; despite the different circumstances, such confidence is questionable. Tajikistan is so vulnerable that a small, localised problem could quickly spiral into a threat to the regime's existence."
Though rarely noted in mass media, Tajikistan is a key player in the insurgency-drenched region where we are learning what we perhaps should have known before we undertook a ground war there.
The link above leads to a copious description of the complex insurgent threat there and also to recommendations for urgently needed human rights interventions. Think drugs, jihad, poverty and an historic aversion to interference from foreigners. Think also democratic revolution and and the possibility that Tajikistan's regime could suffer a fate similar to that of other governments that have recently fallen.
Tajikistan Is Hardly Immune To Insurgency
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