My 2012 Obama Predictor Page with other Contests Prognosticated 10/05/2012

This is my first update of this page Despite the debate brouhaha Obama's edge has increased in part because of commanding positions in swing states including Ohio and Florids  + As in 2008 when I correctly predicted an Obama victory prior to Iowa I am bravely risking humiliation and trying once again to do the very same thing My methodology is my business It is conservative It is draconian It has a basis in calculation but  its mathematical veracity  would be incomprehensible to most mathematicians and is certainly beyond my capacity to explain save as an intuitive method based on figures available to anyone Today I shall continue with a single figure applying only to the margin by which Obama will lead come Election Day That margin would be 6 points - higher than my first prognostication As things change I will raise or lower the above margin Over time I will add in key Congress and Senate contests when my method proves workable Obama will lead Romney by at least six points on election day Note that this does not factor in voter suppression nor the possible effect of last minute Swift Boat ads by the criminal GOP For each of these disgusting eventualities I will concede two points As of now that would give the President a two point winning margin I expect the margin to increase between now and the election and will comment on any unforseen events that change my abductions SENATE AND CONGRESS RACES Massachusetts Senate Warren  Despite Brown's apparent lead now, I believe the expected Obama edge is large enough to carry Warren to victory November 6 I will add in other races as time permits   Stephen's Remarkable Kindle Store