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My 2012 Obama Predictor Page with other Contests Prognosticated 10/05/2012

This is my first update of this page
Despite the debate brouhaha Obama's edge has increased
in part because of commanding positions in swing states
including Ohio and Florids 
+
As in 2008 when I correctly predicted an Obama victory prior to Iowa
I am bravely risking humiliation and trying once again
to do the very same thing
My methodology is my business
It is conservative
It is draconian
It has a basis in calculation but 
its mathematical veracity 
would be incomprehensible to most mathematicians
and is certainly beyond my capacity to explain
save as an intuitive method based on
figures available to anyone
Today I shall continue with a single figure applying only to the
margin by which Obama will lead come Election Day
That margin would be 6 points - higher than my first prognostication
As things change I will raise or lower the above margin
Over time I will add in key Congress and Senate contests
when my method proves workable
Obama will lead Romney by at least six points on election day
Note that this does not factor in voter suppression
nor the possible effect of last minute Swift Boat ads by the criminal GOP
For each of these disgusting eventualities I will concede
two points
As of now that would give the President a two point winning margin
I expect the margin to increase between now and the election
and will comment on any unforseen events that change my abductions
SENATE AND CONGRESS RACES
Massachusetts Senate Warren 
Despite Brown's apparent lead now, I believe the expected Obama edge is
large enough to carry Warren to victory November 6
I will add in other races as time permits
 
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"Sto Perigiali" One of the Surpassingly Best Tunes Theodorakis Has Written

A Setting for a Poem "Denial" Beloved by the Greek People by the Nobel Prize Winning Poet Giorgos Seferis

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dhk0ckaCxDI
The remarkable video at the link above is of a performance of "Sto perigiali" Mario Frangoulis and Mikis Theodorakis in 2001.

Frangoulis and Theodorakis are joined by musicians, including two bouzouki players, and a very large audience that is completely familiar with the words. The audience joins in at Frangoulis' prompt.

This is my very favorite Theodorakis melody. Those who know Theodorakis only for his "Zorba" music are in for a treat. When I was in Athens in 1966, for a short period of study with Constantinos Doxiadis, I knew nothing of Theodorakis. But about five years later, my friend Irene Vassos sang "Sto perigiali" to us. I have never gotten the tune out of my mind.

Later, when Irene joined our group to form a travelling company performing "New Rain", I learned to pick out a …

Obama Ads Should Be Grass Roots Cinema Verite

ShortFormContent at Blogger: How President Obama Can Win Christian Conservatives:

'via Blog this'

To counter the invidious efforts of Karl Rove and the Brothers Koch, simple videos of everyday people expressing gratitude for specific results from specific things that the President has achieved will create a signature response that will turn the tables on the Super PACs.

There could be an intro that flags lies distortions and anonymous attacks as unreal and even criminal and a cut to what is real, recognizable and not anonymous I am (name). I have lived here in (name) for (time). Thanks to (President Obama's (name) Act ... and so forth for ten seconds. Close with a continuation of the story narrated over evocative images and simple acoustic music.

This would be a fantastic way to counter the attacks on the President. For every specific attack, a video that shows the truth. And grass roots people who intend to vote for the President.




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