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Mr. Romney’s advertising advantage in swing states could be starting to pay dividends.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com: "But the gap between the Electoral College and the popular vote has pretty much dissipated. Mr. Obama was given a 67 percent chance of winning the Electoral College in Tuesday’s model — almost exactly the same odds as in the popular vote forecast.

Perhaps a more important qualification is that many of these polls were conducted shortly after Mr. Romney named Representative Paul D. Ryan as his running mate. Candidates typically get a temporary bounce in the polls after naming their vice-presidential nominee, but it usually dissipates soon and their polling may be slightly inflated in the interim. This is not something that our model adjusts for.

Even so, I don’t think we should totally write off the idea that Mr. Romney has made up some ground in the swing states. Apart from his selection of Mr. Ryan, there are other things going on in the campaign. For example, Mr. Romney’s advertising advantage in swing states could be sta…

New Political Broadside A Potential Winner What Do You Think?

We need a slogan that will tell the truth in words that all can understand Here is a candidate I hope you like I hope it spreads across this land
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GOP too divided to govern too right wing to risk. And other Recent Tweets 8/22/2012 9:10 AM ET

2h GOP too divided to govern too right wing to risk ExpandReplyDeleteFavoritedBuffer 10h GOP has affirmed Akin by voting to outlaw all abortion period. ExpandReply