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Showing posts from January 31, 2012

Hardly a distant second for Gingrich

Below is my post of yesterday suggesting that Gingrich will lose by less than fifteen points.At the moment he is losing by 15 points with the votes to be counted  likely to reduce the margin.
Hardly a distant second for Gingrich.  With a 4-1 money deficit which went into wall to wall negative ads by the Romney PAC?  
I'll update this when all the votes are in. UPDATE: The margin is now 14.
This is not a big victory. It is what you can get if you spend 4-1 on negative ads. It will come back to bite Mitt. Too bad NBC and others saw this as a big Mitt win. Over a third who voted for him would prefer another candidate. 
Nate Silver is wrong on Florida. Romney by 15? Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com: "The macroscopic solution, of course, is to take an average of the polls, as the FiveThirtyEight forecast does. That forecast now projects a 15-point win for Mr. Romney:"

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I think the primary is still in play. I think Romney has soft suppor…

That's right Nate and I still say it will be closer than predicted

Florida Republican Primary Results - Live Results - Election 2012 - NYTimes.com: "Nate Silver
Romney Unlikely to Win 50 Percent of Vote
With 41 percent of precincts reporting in Florida so far, Mitt Romney has 50 percent of the vote. Although all signs point toward an impressive victory for him tonight, he is unlikely to wind up with an outright majority of the vote.

There are two simple reasons for this. First, polls still have not closed in the Florida Panhandle - which should be one of Newt Gingrich's best regions. Second, the votes that have been counted so far contain a heavy proportion of early and absentee ballots, which are likely to favor Mr. Romney more than the votes cast today. It is more likely that Mr. Romney will wind up somewhere in the mid-40s than at 50 percent or higher."

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Charles Sanders Peirce - Thinking in Threes

What if conservatives vote and Romney types stay home?

Florida Republican Primary Results - Live Results - Election 2012 - NYTimes.com:

 "5:56 pm

Allison Kopicki

Exit Polls: Tea Party Support

Support for the Tea Party in Florida is just as strong as in Iowa and South Carolina, according to preliminary exit polls. About two-thirds of primary voters in Florida say they support the Tea Party, and nearly 4 in 10 say they strongly support the Tea Party. About half of primary voters in New Hampshire were Tea Party supporters."

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If Mitt's millions backfire on him, it will be partly because his voters did not go to the polls and the conservatives (TP) did.



Charles Sanders Peirce - Thinking in Threes

See how strong Mitt is in South Florida?

Live updates from the polls: Pace slows in the final stretch - Political Currents - MiamiHerald.com: "5:15 p.m. update: At the Belen Jesuit campus in West Miami-Dade, a Republican stronghold with about three times more registered Republicans than Democrats, the pace of voting had slowed considerably — though it could pick up later this evening when voters get off of work. Just how slow was it? One Belen poll worker was spotted taking a nap."

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The man should be biting his nails. Along with Nate Silver. I smell an upset.

Charles Sanders Peirce - Thinking in Threes

If Romney Simply Buys The Nomination He Will Still Lose

Think a third party challenge from the rightThink Newt and Santorum supported by Palin,,Perry and other conservativesEven if Romney ended up in a two way contest he would loseBut his campaign has moved into the sewer and he likes it thereThat will guarantee that he will either not be the nominee or will be challenged from the right 
Charles Sanders Peirce - Thinking in Threes

Old women never lose a single thing.

Old women never lose a single thing. Not beauty, not reflection, not desire. A girl can choose an overcoming life Before her powers of reproduction rise. And if she does, she lives above the crowd. She has no commerce with their lusts and lies. The end is: Overcome! Shine forth the truth! Then love exactly as you wish to do.

From Abba's Way



Charles Sanders Peirce - Thinking in Threes
Stephen's Remarkable Kindle Store 



Somewhere in the background, an oboe ...

Somewhere in the background, an oboe ... Teasing me with melodies that no longer exist As below the sun reflects upon the pavement And figures walk as if it was not now


Charles Sanders Peirce - Thinking in Threes

Occupy Bay Area - Stop wrestling and think long term

Occupy Oakland protesters split over violence: "The conflict is turning into a wrestling match for the soul of the Occupy movement in the Bay Area. And it's become so pronounced that many who started out calling themselves Occupiers now refer to themselves as "99 percenters" instead.

"When I started to see what was happening Saturday, my heart just broke," Michele Horaney of Alameda, a member of the 99 Percent Solution activist group in the East Bay, said of the Occupy Oakland protest that devolved into an hours-long street battle with police. "There is so much good to be gotten, earned and kept from really solid, sincere efforts to make things change for the better."

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The media thirst for a reason to discredit Occupy. Scholars join cynics in dissing notions of world peace. The sign is stasis, the crushing of hope. Countering this is the growing fear that if we do not move forward in a progressive way, we will be condemned t…

Dark neutrality in motion - image

President defends drone activity, professes copious care

Obama: Drones on a ‘Tight Leash’ - The Daily Beast: "President Obama would like to use the Google+ hangout to set the record straight: drones are not bad! On Monday, the president fielded questions in a video chat with Americans. Obama called a recent New York Times piece about surveillance drones in Iraq “overwritten,” and said that drones have not caused an unusual number of civilian casualties since they are a “targeted, focused effort.” The president added that the drone force was kept on a really “tight leash.”"

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Charles Sanders Peirce - Thinking in Threes

Legalizing weed front and center

Good Question | Common Dreams:
A question advocating marijuana legalization and regulation from a retired LAPD deputy chief of police won twice as many votes as any other video question in the White House's 'Your Interview with the President' online competition this weekend. A member of Law Enforcement Against Prohibition (LEAP), Stephen Downing said his 20 years of experience convinced him the country's drug policies are "a complete waste of criminal justice resources."

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Charles Sanders Peirce - Thinking in Threes

Colbert Super PAC Has Real Money in the Bank

Colbert's Super PAC Raises More Than $1 Million - NYTimes.com:

An announcement on the Web site of Mr. Colbert’s political action committee said the “super PAC” had filed $1,023,121.24 with the Federal Election Commission at 12:01 a.m. on Tuesday. The super PAC — once known as the “The Definitely Not Coordinating With Stephen Colbert Super PAC,” then the “Colbert Super PAC,” but officially as “Americans for a Better Tomorrow, Tomorrow” — raised money from viewers to fund things like a commercials shown in South Carolina that equated Mitt Romney with a serial killer.



Charles Sanders Peirce - Thinking in Threes

Make these bozos stop insider trading

Complete E-Mail Addresses for Congress/House, Senate, Governors & State Legislators:

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Unless we take steps to stop the influence of money in our politics, we'll never start rebuilding the trust the American people have in Washington.In his State of the Union, the President said he would sign any bill that ended insider trading in Congress—stopping once and for all the practice of our elected officials holding stock in the industries they impact.From an email
Charles Sanders Peirce - Thinking in Threes